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What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars

Jim Paul; Brendan Moynihan

readreviewed August 24, 2026

key takeaways

  • speculation means taking risk, and losses are part of the game. The danger isn't the loss itself, it's letting bias turn a normal "part of the game" loss into a devastating one
  • always have a exit plan to stay objective. The plan should have: i) A time horizon for the thesis to play out ii) A clearly defined thesis on what will play out in that defined timeframe
  • don't involve your ego. it is not about being right, it is about making money
  • stay humble, especially after a few successes. they could've been just luck

personal thoughts

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